Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eternally Grateful | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Topf Road Rules | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pittsburgh | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vying Edge | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Creed | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Immoral | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Abundant | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Family Tradition | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bigtime Tegridy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mo’s Mojo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Full Impact | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Principe Guilherme | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pop’s Biscuit | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Town Champ | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ginsburned | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin High | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Signofthecross | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Released | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ribbons and Medals | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sahm Tequila | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bettys Cash | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Taxes | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Data Storm | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | You Vee Cee | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reef’s Destiny | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Socks | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chupapi Munyayo | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Afleet Sky | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Al’s Romeo | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eurobeliever | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eastside Cool | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pats Property | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Presidential | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tonka Warrior | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rated R Superstar | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Act | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Out Run’m | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lykan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Bad Diva | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Runnin’ Block | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Chicago’s Gray | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Huey Duey | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Guarded | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Procharger | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rudiano | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pikachu | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Runnin’ Block | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Four Dice | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Racing in My Heart | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madmartigan | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fridaynightsoldier | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ring Bearer | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sheriff C J | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tapit Twice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Smooth Scat | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Miri a Coincidence | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Noah | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reup | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Westheimer Street | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ottoman Empire | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Koselio | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Storm Approaching | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Traffic Control | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Krusin Rocket | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Make Your Destiny | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pepperonikid | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Super Geek | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shakedown Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bohemian Bo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Macho Rocco | 15.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peace Dog | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Citrus Bay | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Table Money | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Partyinthestreets | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kinfolk | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Botany | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Where’s Randy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | W W Scout’s Honor | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lamutanaatty | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Exxel | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Nick | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shady Empire | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Outlaw | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spend Benjamins | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ship It Red | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rum ‘n Tonic | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Constitution | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | No Trust | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Trashtalkinyankee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Macho Ronnie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Lake Hamilton S.) – Lake Hamilton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Skelly | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Edge to Edge | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morello | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tut’s Revenge | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Walker’s Win | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Frazier | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Wellington | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Auto Glide | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Night Effect | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Golden Bandit | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tahoe Run | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ransam Paynter | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soybean Man | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tejas | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Pranks | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saline River | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shouldaboughtdabar | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Empyreal Shadow | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Violent River | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.) – Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Man in the Can | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Willow Creek Road | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Peanut | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gar Hole | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Navy Seal | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mahomey | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One Ten Stadium | 4.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dinner At Crumpies | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bandit Point | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Skyped | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Allo Enry | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | More Than Blessed | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Success | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Promising Shoes | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Polterer | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Buckle | 30.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hellorhighwater | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Moon | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mulberry Street | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nepal Up | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Generator | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moliere | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Back Beat | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Backgate Red | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fetchs Brahm | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | California Swing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Driven One | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.