Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mas Rapido (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itzel | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rexford | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Castleknock | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Azteca | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ze’bul | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hogmanay (IRE) | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Took Charge | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Redline | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strike That | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rookie Mistake | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baladi | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Next Revolt | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Annie’s Song (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ready Jet Go | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Over Attracted | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take a Leap | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Panther | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soul Sweet | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Montana | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Cheese Olive | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fordy G | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stella Boy | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Finally an Eddie | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Heart of Gold | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Disrespectful | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pop Pop’s Dream | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leisurewear (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Annaghlasa (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unfaithful Ways | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Micro Share | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Joker | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hayley Levade | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | An Agent Mistake | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Lazaro Barrera S.) – Lazaro Barrera S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | One in Vermillion | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard to Figure | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navy Man | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tahoe Sunrise | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Senorita S.) – Senorita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Wild Grazer (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ag Bullet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Teena Ella | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chismosa | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Procrastination | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fast and Shiny | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tom’s Regret | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brutto | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mitico | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonic Brees | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sawasdee | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winter Falcon | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barsabas | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warrens Candy Man | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stir the Pot | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yes This Time | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fayathaan (IRE) | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | General Mathis | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dean Martini | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashiest | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vanzzy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crosby Beach | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tidal Forces | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taishan | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Taming the Tigress | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Girly Girl | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harper’s Gallop | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ole Silver | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Code Ribbon | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charlotte Harbor | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kuora (PER) | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classical Romance | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Thorne House | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King Apollo | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Forgiving Spirit | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smuggler’s Run | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cherubic Factor | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vancougar | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Rinca | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cali Bay (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Unconquerable Keen (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Kahuna Magic | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.