Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mas Rapido (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Itzel 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Rexford 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Castleknock 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Kid Azteca 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Ze’bul 6.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Hogmanay (IRE) 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Took Charge 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Redline 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Strike That 3.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Rookie Mistake 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Baladi 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Next Revolt 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Annie’s Song (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ready Jet Go 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Over Attracted 1.80 3.9 7-1
2 2 Take a Leap 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Mongolian Panther 4.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Soul Sweet 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Montana 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Blue Cheese Olive 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Fordy G 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Stella Boy 4.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Finally an Eddie 3.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 R Heart of Gold 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Mr. Disrespectful 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pop Pop’s Dream 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Leisurewear (IRE) 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Annaghlasa (IRE) 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Unfaithful Ways 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Micro Share 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 She’s a Joker 8.00 4 7-1
2 2 Hayley Levade 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 An Agent Mistake 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Lazaro Barrera S.) – Lazaro Barrera S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 One in Vermillion 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hard to Figure 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Navy Man 1.60 1.3 3-1
3 3 Tahoe Sunrise 3.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Senorita S.) – Senorita S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Wild Grazer (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ag Bullet 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Teena Ella 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Chismosa 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Procrastination 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Fast and Shiny 3.50 6.1 12-1
6 6 Tom’s Regret 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Brutto 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mitico 3.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Sonic Brees 8.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Sawasdee 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Winter Falcon 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Barsabas 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Warrens Candy Man 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Stir the Pot 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Yes This Time 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Fayathaan (IRE) 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 General Mathis 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Dean Martini 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Flashiest 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Vanzzy 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Crosby Beach 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Tidal Forces 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Taishan 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Taming the Tigress 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Sheza Girly Girl 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Harper’s Gallop 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Ole Silver 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Code Ribbon 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Charlotte Harbor 5.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Kuora (PER) 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 Classical Romance 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Thorne House 2.50 1 2-1
8 7 King Apollo 5.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Forgiving Spirit 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Smuggler’s Run 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Cherubic Factor 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Vancougar 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Dancing Rinca 20.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Cali Bay (IRE) 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Unconquerable Keen (IRE) 4.00 5.7 11-1
3 98 Kahuna Magic 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.