Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Western Trouble 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Star Sign 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Emicrack (CHI) 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Downy Boy 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Ghoul (BRZ) 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Sunspear 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Super Lunar 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cefalo 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Text Me Up 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Pino in a Purse 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Simple Souvenir 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Flat Out Vixen 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Ami’s Link 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Collaborative 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mr. De 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Agile Dancer 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Quiet Vista 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Moment of Peace 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 Blasito 2.50 7 13-1
6 6 Street Max 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Benlion 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Coach Abernathy 3.00 2 4-1
9 9 Silent Lucidity 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Rookie Radar 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Big Investment 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 It Worked 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Groom Lake 12.00 8 15-1
4 4 Spiral Storm 20.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Scenic Holiday 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Uncaptured Moment 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Rock Bullet 2.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Forest Star 3.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Glenholme 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Four K Force 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Tall Boy Joel 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 C R Hot Shot 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Allegorical 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 La Belleza Negra 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Bet N Win 15.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Justin’s Way 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Tempo Madness 5.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Giant One 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Silent Miracle 6.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Workin Out 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Nikki Noots 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Silver Smoke 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Blast in the Snow 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Alley Oop Johnny 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Full Extreme 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Stanley House 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sunrise Drive 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Tyson 2.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Red Line Overdrive 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Seventyseven Stone 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Kiddie Holiday 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Courtingcourtney 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Charlotte’s Silver 2.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Reins of Purple 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Zippity Day 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Its a Birdie 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Nadiabizniz 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Cliff’s Head 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cool Kiss 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Palace View (IRE) 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 War Strategy 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Midway Mischief 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Mad Mocha 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 October Frost 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stormy Soul 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 Combative 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 C C’s Kingdom 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Hallie’s Hero 15.00 4 8-1
11 11 Dixie Giant 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Seguimi 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Wenjack 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Chairman Bob 12.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Lion’s Goldenheart 15.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Gendragon 20.00 10.5 20-1
7 7 Where’s Anthony 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.