Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Scramble 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Life and Light 50.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Classic Creation 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Kalik 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Operation Torch 2.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 C’Est Magnifique 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 King’s Fortune 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Thunderian 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Warrior Richard 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Paros 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Major Spin 1.20 1 2-1
3 2 Salute to America 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 5 One More Score 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 6 Higher Quality 2.00 4.8 9-1
1 3 Exxtop 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Bingo John 5.00 5.5 10-1
1A 4 R Boy Cheekum 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Beaugay S.) – Beaugay S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Consumer Spending 0 0-1
3 3 Marketsegmentation 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Evvie Jets 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Consumer Spending 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Finest Work 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Contemporary Art 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Surprisingly 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Veronica Greene 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Kalifornia Queen (GER) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mondego (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Spinzar 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bel Ami 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Sgt. Pepper 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Certified Loverboy 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Feral’s Joy 10.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Rockstar Red 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Right to Win (IRE) 8.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Corton Charlemagne 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Sheriff Ronnie 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sway’sinmydna 50.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ride Up 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Motion to Strike 2.50 1 2-1
3 2 Printrack 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 3 Poppy’s Pride 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Gandy Dancing 4.00 2 4-1
2 1 Zertz 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 7 The Sicarii 6.00 5.1 10-1
1A 5 Optic Way 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Expand the Map (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Wings Like Eagles 8.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Sister Bridget (IRE) 30.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Candle 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Out of Sight 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Party On Girl (IRE) 10.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Fortineno (IRE) 6.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Broadway Force 15.00 9 17-1
10 10 Fontanafredda 15.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Frosted Oats 4.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Runaway Rockette 20.00 10.5 20-1
13 13 Clitheroe (GB) 10.00 11.7 22-1
12 12 Awillaway 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Run Devil 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Chasing Cara 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Cupids Girl 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Alpine Queen 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 I’m Buzzy 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 1 Diva Banker 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 8 Mon Petit Chou 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 7 Royal Meghan 3.00 2.8 5-1
1A 6 Game Theory 15.00 4 8-1
1 4 Triple P 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Icy Stare Down 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Prerequisite 0 0-1
7 7 Highland Grace 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Financial Advice (FR) 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Libretto (IRE) 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Way too Early 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Prerequisite 5.00 5 9-1
9 9 Volatility 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 La Mazel 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Meow Meow Hiss 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Treasured Gem 6.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 River Oaks 20.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Bounty Killah 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (License Fee S.) – License Fee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Poppy Flower 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Messidor (IRE) 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Yuugiri 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Imagery 20.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Hot Fudge 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Goin’ Good 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Star Devine (IRE) 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Minaun (IRE) 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Bubble Rock 4.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Spun Glass 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.