Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jan’s Girl 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tickle My Fancy 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Roses Are Free 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Taormina 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Goldcrest 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Starship Boeing 1.40 SCRATCH
8 8 Thank the Academy 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Exclusive Joni 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dream of Blessings 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 I Found It 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Trupia 1.20 2.7 5-1
6 6 Ready On the Line 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Astral Weeks 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Danley 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cryptonaire 0 0-1
2 2 Laveau 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Wildcat Star 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Breaking Bullet 2.00 3 6-1
1 1 Mi Corazon 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 The Money Machine 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Songteller 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Castle Born 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Cryptonaire 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Madeforsummer 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Ylang Ylang 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Subtle Faith 3.00 4 7-1
4 4 Marthamaywhovier 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Vacation Suite 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Ria Formosa 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Musical Design 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Siena Lady 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Starship Sunrise 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Moanas Power 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Princess Blakely 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Gitana 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Bravo Zulu 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Arrow Shape 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Oopsie Doopsie 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rigby 1.40 1.1 2-1
4 4 For Ever Ours 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Train Wreck 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Killargue’s Girl 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Ballyhooly 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Bumblelicious 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dem a Wonder 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Pretty Rachel 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 No Decaf 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Dignified 3.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Capridrey 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Mudshaft 30.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Winning At Ease 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Simplify (ARG) 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Monroe S.) – Monroe S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 By All Means (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gather as You Go 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Join the Dance 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Love Her Lots 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Paris Peacock (IRE) 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Parnac (FR) 4.00 7 13-1
5 5 Jumeirah 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jay’s Delight 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mexicoffee 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Fight 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Lieutenant Stan 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Arms 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Greenpoint 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Secret Soldier 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 First Slew 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.