Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Watch Me Disappear 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Munnis Pretty 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 I Have Courage 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Bessie Blue 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Dance Delilah 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 La Santa Clara 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Let’s Make a Zeen 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Happy Tappy Tim 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sapphire Beauty 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Irish Lace 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Rationalmillennial 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Fashionatta 20.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Performanceanxiety 5.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Victorian Riviera 8.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Bad Temper 15.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Lottaclass Lilsass 30.00 9.8 19-1
13 13 Ballykeen 6.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Poet in My Heart 15.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Hearditall 30.00 11.1 21-1
6 6 Harper’s Do 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Incitatusway 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jumpingjaggerflash 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Just the Thing 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Mucho Love 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Tocayo 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Lee Alejandro 15.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Swept 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Grand Escape 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lord Uhtred 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Island d’Lite 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Rascally Rebel 20.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Judy’s Army 3.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Flight of Bourbon 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Majesty’s Freedom 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lady Serenity 15.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Fancee Grace C 2.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sweet Shugs 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Naughty Nan 5.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Ellie Victorina 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 She’ll Make Waves 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Lucci 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 I Got a Rock 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Battlebus 4.00 5 9-1
2 2 Montauk Daddy 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 W W Springtime 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Backwoods Boogie 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Flashinthenight 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Indefatigable 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Burgee 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Reux (GB) 15.00 8.7 16-1
12 12 Eye of Gunfighter 30.00 11.4 22-1
11 11 Valmont 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Believeinrocknroll 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Military Hop 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Oxide 10.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Spotted Bull 5.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Curlin’s Malibu 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Brilliant Chase 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Savoy 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Crouchelli 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Ace Nine Nine 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Free Square 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Toosweetforme 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Tipsy Tourist 4.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Despite the Gin 4.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Lady Lancer 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Looking for Flare 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Lily Mor 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Ginger Berries 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.