Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s Got a Way 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Howboutdemapples 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Dendera 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Albayaader (IRE) 2.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Real Fire 4.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Bali Dancer 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Ice Queen 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Run for My Honey 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Blursday 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Spoiled Rotten 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Parco 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 It’s Saul Right 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Back On the Street 2.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Singletary S.) – Singletary S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Escape Artist 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mi Hermano Ramon 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Wizard of Westwood 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Game Time 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Malibu Coast 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Eastbound 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Never Sway 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kiss My Kat 1.60 1.7 3-1
4 4 Teen Drama 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Big Bell 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Trojan Way 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Careless Star 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Roses R Blue 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Coalinga Road 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Balladeer 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Bletchley Park 15.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Anmer Hall 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Silver Surfer (GB) 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Reckless Spirit 2.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Tropical Terror 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Subsidize 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Carol’s Comic 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Big Bet Jafinsafa 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Devil Be Me 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Big Baby 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 My Ransom 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Cowboy Mike 2.50 5.7 11-1
10 10 Imperial Hornet 15.00 10 19-1
6 6 Bailey’s Budget 12.00 10.1 19-1
9 9 Andy Can U Hear Me 6.00 10.6 20-1
5 5 Tom Horn 12.00 11 21-1
11 11 Never Not Once 12.00 11 21-1
7 7 Daddy’s Quest 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 One Flew South 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Fast Buck 8.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Mucho Del Oro 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Harbored Memories 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Standing O 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Respect the Code 3.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Samburu (GB) 10.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Desmond Doss 10.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Don’t Swear Dave 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Escape Route 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Kingdom Heart 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Divine Armor 10.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Disco Ball 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Kahuna Magic 30.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Lovesick Blues 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Murray 2.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Colt Fiction 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tallis 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ko Samui (IRE) 20.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Goldeneye 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 So I’m Told 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Circleofchampions 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Frost Alert 20.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Thirty Four Coupe 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Numero Dix (GB) 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Nineeleventurbo 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Derecho Dandy 3.50 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.