Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 T’pring 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tipsy Moon 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 She’s So Cold 10.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Grande Bella 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 P. S. Rising Star 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ashwicken 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Loaded Mistress 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stormin Dave 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 One More Ring 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Seattle Point 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Pidin 3.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 It’s Me Mario 20.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Busta Groove 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Candy Street 3.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Quiet Speed 4.00 7 13-1
9 9 First Round 20.00 9 17-1
10 10 Joe Chrome 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Twirling Cat 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Silver Magnatized 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Love to Run 2.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Buttered Toast 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Batyah 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Improvise (FR) 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tall Water 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ben Lomond 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Crafty Conquest 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Wonnefrac 20.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Malibu Secret 2.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Striking Heir 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 One Punch Charlie 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Commander Tom 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Money Matters 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Thunderer 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Simcoe 2.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Lanigan 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Unexpected Outcome (IRE) 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Legal Catch 10.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Dolos 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Zakhari 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bohemian Boy 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Concealed Carry 2.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Keeping the Edge 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Breaking Alone 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Day Tripper 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 On Thin Ice 3.50 6.6 13-1
6 6 Commander Joe 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Rondure 3.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Bringer of Rain 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Frosted Over 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Duke of Love 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Money Printer 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Full Screen 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Conglomerate 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Luckman 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Haddassah 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Secret Sunshine 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Loki’s Lightning 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Velikiy 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Rumours Fly 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Sake and Sushi 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Souper Sunday 3.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 My Girl Gabby 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Blackmarsh 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Privileged 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Miss Molly Lalou 12.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.