Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Battle of Yorktown | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Union | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Runner | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wheresthepassion | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wispering Springs | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Field Officer | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eminency | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Afraidofthebunny | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mil Doscientos | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carpe All Day | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harley’s Charly | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commingling | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wegottaguy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run White Rabbit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One Pair of Hands | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dysfunctional | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reid’s Fangirl | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tudor Peak | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Poor No More | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iyiyi | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Incomparable | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Miss | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ryan’s Fleet | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky as a Seven | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Enforcer | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jovial | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mizzen Man | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ava K’s Boy | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beach Warrior | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chain Reaction | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Portal One | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Portal One | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | U U Star | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buffalo Shuffle | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lazaretto | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chain Reaction | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Center Mid Maddie | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crypt | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nick the Cardshark | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gravel Road | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Now Act Surprised | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Five Star Fran | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Connelmaura | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mamma Mia Esterina | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blanchiment | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Well Rested | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bionic Kat | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maria Pinke | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Emsy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prosperous | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Styner | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Nautilus | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Styner | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scar | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cobble Road | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itwasthedevilsidea | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tycoon | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ifihadachance | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Dillingham | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luli’s Dancer | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whyisshesoolucky | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minding Millie | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tomarie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fine One Won | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Loose Ends | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Day | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Dangerous Guy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming of Gerry | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One More Scoop | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | City Rage | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jw’strickymischief | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Practical Way | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wagon Boss | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keeping the Peace | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Devils Child | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Bay | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Breeze | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Paradise Pride | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outrageous Bet | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ahsad | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tactical Plan | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Petulant Delight | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.