Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Quincannon 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Claudee Boy 3.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Sharp Red Eagle 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Super Jordan 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Star Shopping 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Thank Ya Pete 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Marched 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Carmichaelspioneer 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Awesome Stephen 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Shadow Box 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Bodyslam 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Landon Jack 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 I Am the Mike 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 General J R 4.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Gaming Soul 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Anniesallinclusive 30.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Cypres Station 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Lunar Ghost 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Deputy Donnie 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Beckon 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Betcha by Golly 15.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Erin’s Enthusiasm 4.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 In a Spin 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Amazon Queen 10.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Memphis Showboat 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Cupids Dream 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Dotada 6.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Inanna’s Quest 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 White Lilacs 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dry Well 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sir Smoak 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Speights Your Mind 4.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Best Choice Baby 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Cajun Dream 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Seeing Red 10.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Daredavite 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Trophy Room 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Girl’s On Fire 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Princess Javoncia 4.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Bonita Lassie 15.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Carroll Girl 6.00 3 6-1
9 9 Instinctive 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Classic Colors 3.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Big Cheeks 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Izzybella 10.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Congress Hall 30.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Gold Rush Kizzie 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ms Merrabel 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dropkick Queen 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Shackleford County 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Pretty Edgy 6.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Dancer’s Melody 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Calypso Ghost 20.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Utterly Enchanting 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Ravenel 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 My Super Sally 20.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Soupster 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Awesome View 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Boss Man J J 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Ladneedsahandler 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Pickin Sea Glass 12.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Prince Pere 5.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Whenigettoheaven 10.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Noah Chance 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Smitten Enough 30.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Sue Loves Barbados 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Tenax 6.00 4.9 9-1
13 13 Sachmo 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Kobe Tough 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Thataway 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Kidman Kerry 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Majestic Frontier 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Total Effort 4.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Crownedcountcristo 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Branco Maria 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 No Me Digas 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Transfer the Funds 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Dimmi Quando 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.