Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stuck On You | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liam’s Message | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boomin’ Belle | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prognosticate | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wreck It Ruby | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afterneath | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Redheadedstranger | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jay Vee Bee | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amani’s Eagle | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madison Luvs Duke | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Call Ray | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mugsy Malone | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trigger Happy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Loved | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Duet | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Opening Night | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Keen | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chiquita Mosca | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nifty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flint Ridge | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Leader | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Aaron | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steinbeck | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coltonator | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amenset | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zippin Pippin | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Grace | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shackled by Lust | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gormleyesque | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackie’s Spirit | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coexist | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brisbane Road | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Trap | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Batukhan (IRE) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tropic Storm | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicca Wisdom | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tuskegee Cat | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motown Missile | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yono | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Writeitontheice | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nicholas Jones | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paid in Full | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Born Flawless | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fire On Time | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Altered Shot | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Bell | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princedreamcess | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stella Noir | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ready for Change | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boudoir Burlesque | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Strikingly Spun | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | C C Cruise Control | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Root Cause | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mustang Lady | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unstable Princess | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Demi | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clever Joke | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jenny Lind | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bolivie (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malawnia | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Catherine Blaze | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Shoplifter | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Divinely Bolt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Knockyoursocksoff | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lily’s Creed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Nomadic Pride | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Majestic Flag | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Matlock | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vail of Honor | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Connection | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Smile | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vortex | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mifflin | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strickland | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magna Ruler | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Johnny’s Moment | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.