Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Forloveofcountry 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Can’t Pass It Up 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Erawan 4.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Chrome Finish 30.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sassy King 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Uncommon Valor 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Minecrafter 30.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Ice Bar 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Galatians 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wonder Water 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Spectrier 12.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Food Foodie 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Hot Rod Lincoln 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Espresso Lungo 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Hop and Scotch 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Blackwater Falls 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hidewright Away 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Appealingtothe Eye 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Ginger Girl 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 She Got the Munni 10.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Run Around Slew 30.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 How Sweet She Is 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 La Traviesa 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Goldrush Hottie 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Fly High 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bosserati 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Lady Mosler 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Queen Cashmere 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Strawberry Point 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Meliponini Bee 3.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Princess Palmer 6.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Tritone Gal 2.50 6.9 13-1
6 6 Modelo Rubia 20.00 9 17-1
2 2 Circuitt 15.00 9 17-1
13 13 Write This Down 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Music Queen 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Blueberry Indygo 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Gift of Gab 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bletchley Girl 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Blame It On Paris 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 True Queen 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pit Stop Man 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Wild Behavior 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 His Name Is Sue 15.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Substantial 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Free Square 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Great Go Go 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 The Cairo Kid 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Rookie Salsa 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Top Boss 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gunslinger (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Petit Fils (FR) 4.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 U S Constitution 4.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Krug 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Up Against It 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Speak Unity 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Mint Game 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Fermat 10.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 One Two Kid 8.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Pretty Good Year 15.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Super E 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Strong Headed 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Helms Deep 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The King Cheek 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Aristocat 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Dolice Vita 15.00 1.9 3-1
1 1 Guillaume 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Clubman 1.80 2.9 5-1
8 8 Bobby G 2.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Badger Tooth 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Shady Munni 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Flirtatious Lass 4.50 1 2-1
11 11 Money’s Worth 6.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 In Vain 2.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Bella Bettina 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Island Philo 3.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Smart Eulee 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Grand Skylark 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Summer Odds 5.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Preparefortakeoff 20.00 9.3 18-1
12 12 Brushing 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Haleigh B 1.80 SCRATCH
13 13 Dulce Kiara 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Irish Valentine 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Stormin’ Amanda 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 And Whistle 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Yooou Know 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Thunder Boss 15.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Poggibonsi 4.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Baby Sox 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 Auntie Rona 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Kobe’s Smile 30.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Ginamaya 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Looking for Water 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.