Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Silver Bullet Lady 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Unable 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Natasha’s Bizniz 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Spanish Beauty 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Golden Train 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Lady in Red 3.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Gold Forester 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Trebuchet 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Chunky Monkey 2.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Pettinari 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Mia and Me 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Ngabe 20.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 I’m No Sleepy Joe 8.00 7 13-1
8 8 Autumn’s So Flashy 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Opeechee 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Solo Album 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Janis Joplin 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Indy Champagne 2.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Ella Frances 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Inscrutable 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Milagre Do Sol 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lets Run Two 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Shelly the Rocket 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Murder Hornet 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 My Girl Hooter 15.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Sneaky Rebel 3.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Forest Choice 10.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Practical Gizmo 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Hot Omelet 3.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Bittersweetbizness 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Systematic 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cleomenes 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Sterling Speed 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Loaded Question 15.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Very Savvy 2.50 4.5 8-1
2 2 Sugar Is Golden 5.00 5 9-1
4 4 Old Secrets 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Souper Flashy 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Swinging Mandy 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 American Gamble 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sacred Dancer 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Anam Cara 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Mimi’s Golden Ring 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Catiche 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Lady Moonshine 4.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 My Girl Sky 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 November Fog 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Millie Girl 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Tempereya 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Who Says 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fedaline 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kimono Kate 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Hekla’s Aura 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Dawn Pharoah 1.80 4.1 8-1
9 9 Stole the Ring 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Speed Chess 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Moet Monet 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Social Drinker 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Forest Vixen 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.