Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kilkenny Bella 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Connecting Flight 8.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Blue Twirlin 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Constitutionalist 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Ria Formosa 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Amor Salvaje 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Antrim 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 A J’s Memory 1.80 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Demurely 0 0-1
5 5 Demurely 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Heir to the Roar 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Dannyhill 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Arrow Shape 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Winning At Ease 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Lexinator 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 No Name Dude 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 J R ‘s Pride 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Raka Raka Cruz 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Grand Macallan 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Bourbon Therapy 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Eventful 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Midnight Getaway 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Grand Bey 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starship Wizard 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bach 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Sebaray 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Solar Tap 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Just Praise 15.00 4 8-1
10 10 Bluto’s Candy 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Shipwreck 30.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Tapaterm 5.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Sandy Dude 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Pluma Roja 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Here Comes Bullet 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Royal Kitten 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Thenorthremembers 15.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Ghostinyou 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Attentive 10.00 5 9-1
10 10 Rebelde 3.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Small Reason 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Long Beach Kid 30.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Textpectation 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Tone Feelin 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Royal Palm Juvenile S.) – Royal Palm Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mattingly 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Reaper 3.50 4 8-1
1 1 Shotgun Pro 30.00 4 8-1
9 9 Holding the Line (IRE) 2.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Praiseworthy 30.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Northshore Drive 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Blast Furnace 3.00 5 10-1
7 7 No Nay Mets (IRE) 12.00 5.6 10-1
10 10 Tiberian Sun 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Zaino 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Heart N Soul 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Delta Tau Chi 4.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Mr. Peeks 1.40 1.3 2-1
5 5 Macho Forty Five 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Omni King 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Three Fold 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Maptitude 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rock Along 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bella Romance 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Ginger Sparkle 3.50 2 4-1
8 8 Juno Sea 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Da Journeygirl 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 She’s Outta Here 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Tested Positive 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Bumblelicious 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Countless Dreams 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Royal Palm Juvenile Fillies S.) – Royal Palm Juvenile Fillies S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fumblerooski 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ocean Mermaid (GB) 2.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Turf Rocket 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Kiss 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 The Myth 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Bucchera 30.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Girvin Star 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Scootaloo 15.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 She Has Class 8.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Crimson Advocate 3.50 6.7 13-1
10 10 My Sweetheart Dani 50.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Neogem 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Lendhercredit 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Starship Dynasty 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Newton’s Star (IRE) 8.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Kazillion 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Moonshining 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Factor That 10.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Exclusive Joni 4.50 8.2 15-1
9 9 No Wasabi for Me 10.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Domo Arigatou 20.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Lucky in Love 12.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.