Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gilligan 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Despite Odds 3.50 1.9 3-1
7 7 Highland Dream 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Addy’s Laddy T N T 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Bali’s Shade 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Amedeus Music 1.80 5.7 11-1
2 2 Political Decision 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ladro Di Fichi 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Daily Planet 3.50 5 10-1
3 3 Water Witch 12.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Dulini 30.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Proper Storm 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Blueberry Pie 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Toss a Coin 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Believe in Freedom 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Seiver 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Anileate 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Let Freedom Rein 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Heartburn 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Amunet 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Miss Kristy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rebellious Stage 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Martini Martin 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Jolly by Golly 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Meno 20.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Bettanot Cross Me 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Donegal Danny 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Malibu Rumble 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Margie’s Fun Son 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Full Irish 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lantau 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Montauk Daddy 1.80 2 4-1
1 1 Call Me Maestro 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Flaming East 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Jimmy the Kid 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Remembering Wilbur 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Little Bay 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sweet Beauty 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Incontrovertible 20.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Blueberry Indygo 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Tap N Glo 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Performanceanxiety 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Bletchley Girl 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Fivecommatwo 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Isabella’s Glory 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Golden Angel 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Maria From Miami 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sonny and Max 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Sk’s Heart 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Aztec Bay 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Snooze Button 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Royal Party 10.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Super Jo Jo 30.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Winds of Fortune 15.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Biz as Usual 20.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Blonde Samaritan 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Savi Dancer 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Backatya 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rookie Salsa 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Charge to Victory 2.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Long Term Thinking 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Pepe and Heywood 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Savoy 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Our Hoisted Mast 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cashing Big Checks 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Double Fireball 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Surya 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Out of Sorts 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Bourbon Wildcat 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Misty Mauve 2.50 7.1 13-1
12 12 Eight Danzas 30.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Dry Well 30.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Stir Crazy 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Miss Delicious 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Maldives Model 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Jubilee Bridge 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Miss Carol Ann (IRE) 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 The Great Gazoo 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Box N Ben 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Bustermartin Brown 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Bar Down Express 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Polsar 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Surf City Gold 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Money Room 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 El Patojo 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Maybe It’s Time 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.