Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 I’m a Bourbon Girl 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Strike the Pose 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Humor Me Jim 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Super Sicily 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Speedy Johny 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Sandy Grace 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bridge to Nowhere 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 West Paw 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hit and Run 1.80 1.2 2-1
4 4 Take It Easy 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Wake Up Maggie 20.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Anita Grigio 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 J M R Bold Vision 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Miss Bobbit 4.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Gormley Girl 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Wicked Miah 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Dashi 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Ransom 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mendeljohn (IRE) 1.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Don’t Stop Dreamin 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Gizmo’s Mission 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Wild Conversation 20.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Chicago Freddy 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Smokin Holiday 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Crumlin Lad 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Midnight Tempesta 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Rapid Test 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Cadfael 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Silent Reserve 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Brother Belen 12.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Chairman Rainbow 4.00 7.7 14-1
9 9 Jim’s Hope 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Mr. Marshall 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kid Marvelous 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Take Charge Sousi 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Scoot Daddy 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Town’s Warrior 10.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Legislator 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 El Cohete 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Tazman 4.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Wellworththewait 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 I’m Into Mischief 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dixie Morning 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Popnfizz 3.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Adora 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Collect Dattt 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Rifling 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Cahira’s Blessing 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Livin On Luv 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Thatsitthatsall 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gizmo’s B F F 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Verdejo 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Trading Bay 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Billyjane 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Kavala 3.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Hard to Capture 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Ol’ Blondie 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Souper Pecan 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Whimsical S.) – Whimsical S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Our Flash Drive 1.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hard Edge 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Miss Speedy 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Baby No Worries 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Ambassador Luna 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Forest Drift 20.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Basalt Street 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Owen’s Tour Guide 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bosskaye 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Favorite Channel 10.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Legal Steps 20.00 3 6-1
4 4 Fire Emoji 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Miss Schiller 15.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Manitoulin Island 8.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Elusive Gem 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Nepriklausoma Dama 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Don’t Move 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Slash of the Sun 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.