Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Last Shift 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Yeager 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Free Smoke 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Mr. Rhodium 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Chaplin 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Baltic Mule 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Chrome Ghost 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Apple Lover 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bonnie Sandra 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Quickstyle 1.80 3 6-1
6 6 Trotting Gear 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Gratia 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Subtle Senorita 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Lady Bourbon 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cajun Hope 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 D Coldest 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Coppermaster 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Grand Rock 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 English Bob 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Quincy Cafe 3.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Hexagon 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cashier Check 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Light Fury 8.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Novgorod the Great 12.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Kartano 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Charles Chrome 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Indy Lyon 2.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Vladislav 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Notary Sojac 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Rock the Weekend 10.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Ember 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Brooklyn Dreams 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Impetuous Soul 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Enzo’s World 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Propellant 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sophia’s Storm 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Awesome Annmarie 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Dudesfirstdarling 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Dove in Charge 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Rain 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Miles of Smiles 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Mr. Steele S.) – Mr. Steele S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Saratoga Flash 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Max K. O. 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Me and Mr. C 1.80 3.2 6-1
1 1 Grand David 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Candy Tycoon 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Fredo 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Value Proposition (GB) 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Hot Blooded 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Loud Mouth 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Assertiko 15.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 I’ll Figure It Out 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Tone Feelin 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Rhymes Like Dimes 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Mr Mac Quhae 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Create Again 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Adventure Seeker 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Unsociable 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Silardi 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Richy 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Adios Asher 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Point Liam 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Executive Search 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Viva Victory 30.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Jetaros 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.