Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Hellman 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 God Is Love 8.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Sorolla 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Lightning Lad 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Spiritual Ghost 30.00 10.3 19-1
3 3 Tiz Tact Toe 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Vanhoofer 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Airman 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mosley Natural 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Summer Silence 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Quincannon 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Federal Offense 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Summer Anthem 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Grand Manner 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Steele Money 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sponsored 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mocephus 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Cryo 2.50 3 6-1
7 7 Zen Master 20.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Johnnyfrenchfri 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Great Days Ahead 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Phra Phrom 30.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Capt. Candy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lady Ensign 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Daisy My Name 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Our Liberty Belle 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Cora’s Choice 3.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Gave 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Peachessweetnotion 4.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Nami 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Morethanreadyeddie 5.00 1 2-1
1A 8 Time to Cruise 1.80 1.7 3-1
1 5 Eldest Son 1.80 3 6-1
2 1 No Easy Days 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Adero 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 It’s Viper 2.50 4.8 9-1
5 4 Master of None 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Pride of Payton 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 High Stick 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Determined Empire 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Brooklyn Girl 12.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Nonna’s Tiramisu 6.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Zippy Do Da Day 20.00 9.7 18-1
12 12 Solving Progress 15.00 10.2 19-1
9 9 Smoke N Sin 30.00 11.1 21-1
13 13 She’s Like Thunder 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Cush Effect 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Creole 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Kake’s Tap Dancer 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Starters Orders 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Waridi Candy 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Heavenly Appointed 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Tufani 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Reconsider Me (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cover the Spread 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mystic Seaport 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Genieinabridle 20.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Sapphire Star 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Sister Cloudy 5.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Lil Spinner 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Tinseltown Tina 6.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Six the Hard Way 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Winked 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Isabel Alexandra (IRE) 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Skylar’s Sister 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Tam Char 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Haleigh B 3.50 4.2 8-1
11 11 Exclusive Rose 30.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Translate 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Afandi 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Lilly Simone 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Chromeplated Heart 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Queen Sheba 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Carolina Sun 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hot Lookin Royal 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 O Shaughesey 6.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Pray for the U S A 3.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Extra Crunchy 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Queen of Class 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Salamina 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Shes So Speightsy 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.