Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Hellman | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | God Is Love | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sorolla | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Lad | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spiritual Ghost | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Tact Toe | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Vanhoofer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Airman | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mosley Natural | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Summer Silence | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Quincannon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Federal Offense | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Summer Anthem | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Grand Manner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Steele Money | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sponsored | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mocephus | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cryo | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zen Master | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Johnnyfrenchfri | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Days Ahead | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Phra Phrom | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capt. Candy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Ensign | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daisy My Name | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Liberty Belle | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cora’s Choice | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gave | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peachessweetnotion | 4.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nami | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Morethanreadyeddie | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Time to Cruise | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Eldest Son | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | No Easy Days | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Adero | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Viper | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Master of None | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pride of Payton | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | High Stick | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Determined Empire | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brooklyn Girl | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nonna’s Tiramisu | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zippy Do Da Day | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Solving Progress | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smoke N Sin | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | She’s Like Thunder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cush Effect | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Creole | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kake’s Tap Dancer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Starters Orders | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Waridi Candy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Appointed | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tufani | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Reconsider Me (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cover the Spread | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mystic Seaport | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Genieinabridle | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sapphire Star | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Cloudy | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Spinner | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tinseltown Tina | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Six the Hard Way | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Winked | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Isabel Alexandra (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skylar’s Sister | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tam Char | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Haleigh B | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Exclusive Rose | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Translate | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Afandi | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lilly Simone | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chromeplated Heart | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Queen Sheba | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Carolina Sun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hot Lookin Royal | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | O Shaughesey | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pray for the U S A | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Extra Crunchy | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen of Class | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salamina | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shes So Speightsy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.