Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Aventapp 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 M Is for Magic 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Miss Lizzy 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Irish Patsy 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Daddy Classy Dill 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 R Swirvin Girvin 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Thunder Run 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Apple Fest 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Royale Delta 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Delitefull Hart 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Minedandrefined 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Guitar Girl 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Magazine 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jibber Jabber (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Too Much Heaven 1.60 1.4 3-1
1 1 Whistler’s Style 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Majestic Steps (IRE) 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Dolly May (IRE) 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blonde Bombshell 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Shambala Girl 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Song of Shadows 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Whiskey Outlaw 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Assuredly 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dialing Scotty 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Copper Bo Ten 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tecumseh Caroline 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Lucky for You 1.60 1.5 3-1
1 1 Awesome Taylor 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Trouville 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Heels Up 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Belmont Bill 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Russells Hustle 5.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 The Key Is Unity 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Storm the Night 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Secret Treasure 15.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Port Royal 12.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 La’och Aloysius 20.00 3 6-1
5 5 Kawazaki (IRE) 5.00 3.5 7-1
13 12 Overrule 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Sippin Whiskey 30.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Carpe Bellum 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Stop and a Tres 15.00 5.3 10-1
12 98 Zihuatanejo 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Crypto Munny 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sir Flatter 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Economical 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Krixus Flash 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Careless Kitten 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Big Swede 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Big Splash 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Divine Feminine 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Timely Luck 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Smoove as Silk 8.00 1.7 3-1
12 12 Idessia 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Love Our Family 12.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Betsy Is the Code 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Yvett’s Surprise 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Cherry Chaos 20.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Sapadilla 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Tapit Rocks 30.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Warrior Lady 12.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Boginskaya 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Candy On Top 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.