Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wood Be Wild | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Sussex | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Allen Diggs | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Orphan Hallie | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luv to Win | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hardware Gap | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lake Shore Drive | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Naval Officer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord M | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Reload | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Year Contract | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Green Machine | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Thoughts | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Grayvenscroft | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No More | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stormin’ Humor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dragon’s Brew | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take a Chance | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hicksy | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forester’s Turn | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Crowley | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Decimator | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desolator | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hit the Point | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Silent Ghost | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pino in a Purse | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Maeve (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Miah | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Machisima | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | More Savvy | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ivy’s Star | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hasn’t Hit Me Yet | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Simple Souvenir | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Worry Less | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Sky | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crimson Nights | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tender Situation | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Telltale | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Nola | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crumlin Beast | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snow Lake | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taylormoon | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aim for the Sky | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Napa Spirit (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | There’s No Joe | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cotton | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Maakwa | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Niagara Skyline | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chancel | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Poseidon Steel | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Jacques Cartier S.) – Jacques Cartier S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arzak | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anarchist | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red River Rebel | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Chocolat (BRZ) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Chestnut | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Overload | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ironstone | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready for a Fight | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silent Poet | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Watson | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Have a Souper Day | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kawacatoose | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warp Ride | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clear Destination | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honey Won’t | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crafty Conquest | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mad Dog N Joe | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket Joe Copper | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Dazzle | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tricky Magician | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Master Spy | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dot’s Vision | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beyond Borders | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sailor’s Passion | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mayito | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maximus Momentus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Vettori Kin (BRZ) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.