Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jokemeister | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dadashev | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vero Sun | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frank N Ducky | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Tuttle | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin Freebee | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous Jones | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Emerald | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Island Belle | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Girlfromouterspace | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bet of the Century | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | African Angel | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Verdandi | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Why Not Babe | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elevenmonthslater | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | He’ssosubtle | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Emperor’s Cause | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cape Hedge | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Saw It All | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commissioner Dave | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Recall | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jay’stalker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ima Pharoah | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Lover | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dalton | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Harbour | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dathoss | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Rule | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rejected Again | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mach Trial | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gavichi | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Blanca | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boca Royalty | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sizzling Roma | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Streak | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valerie First | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Risque’s Jewel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Southern Cents | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sensible Jim | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Long Legged Boy | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Cupid | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Swansboro | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Show Em the Lights | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blackwater Falls | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Major Cam | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Skerrett | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scintillating Star | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catalon | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peyton’s College | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Xenatown | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wishing Ona Prayer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cup of Life | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shetalkstomuch | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Denali Rae | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beachwalker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Bob | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stonegate | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jebologist | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Spoke | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Khozy My Boy | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Promise | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classy American | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Abuelo Nuno | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Uptown Girl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Darling Donna | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thegoddessofsnakes | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Castilleja | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Et’s Moon Maiden | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emirates Affair | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spanikopita | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clout Chaser | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Market Development | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fire’s Finale | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Large | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scoop Dawg | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Henrythethird | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Formal Order | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strum and Pluck | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cape May Style | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Nightmare | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Zephyr | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.