Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hope for Gold | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amigos Guitar | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Healy’s Hope | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Briggs | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Splitzville | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Nightmare | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Mission | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Look Out Lambo | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vitesse | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mississippi | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Load Up Moe | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Long Gray Line | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Nod and Smile | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Superhighway | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Positively Awesome | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taco Bean | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Distractandattack | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Current Hope | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hide the Ransom | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dangnabbit | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Louie’s Wish | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scotty | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Angry Man | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunny Saint | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Melina’s Dream | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amount | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Almond Cider | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stouthearted | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Dream | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dooq | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Sensation | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | The Boatman | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ash of My Enemy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Peppina | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Decoupage | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peachy Weachy | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bucks Some | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tomarie | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Erica | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | American Pyramid | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grandpa’s Kid | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fletcher | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Praetorian Guard | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winnin’onweekends | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Imagination | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Son of a Buck | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Eyes On You | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hoopla | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kobe B | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Passage of Lines | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Path | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smarten Up | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jacohare | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Brown Shoes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Expensive Cut | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tune In | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eagles Cry | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super John | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roan Mountain | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noneedtoworry | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allevare | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Irish Honor | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exit Right | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good Culture | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Margin of Air | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Causalistic | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Microscope | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Doda | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Verbier | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.