Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Msm Party With Moe 0 0-1
10 10 Cartel So Fast 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Oxymoron 15.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Wolf Moon Perry 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Your Beehind Honey 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Jm Soleil 12.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Move Over 6.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 The Coonash Colt 15.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Ttt Maxed Out James 3.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Will 3 4.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Msm Party With Moe 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 One Relentless Jet 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Playing the Field 5.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Highest Flyer 10.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Little Toy Loko B 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Jess Lil Wanda 15.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 D Fast Noon Prize 8.00 8 15-1
5 5 Eye Caramba 4.00 8 15-1
7 7 Salty Dog 10.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Hesasorrelmagic 6.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Prs Straight Money 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sheza Tko 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fdd Lady Patriot 2.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Story Time Tee 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Ho Lotta Emotion 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Tee Gabe 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Majestic N Kool 15.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Blue Louisina Fire 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Ar Eagle Fire 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Power of Red River 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sheza Famous Babe 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Shes Gunna Be Famous 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Shezainabar 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Light My Candy 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Bar Fight Blues 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Apolitical Dash 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Making a Royal Dash 4.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Inseperable Jessie 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Onemorewildtrain 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Brileys Prize 4.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Xdw Sheez Sweet 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Dianetoseparatefromu 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Red Faced Rogue 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Lucky Dice 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Reach Thru 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Razimitaz 4.50 8.1 15-1
6 6 Tttroyalityntheblood 10.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Cartel Fire Two 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Accentonafarmbabe Aw 0 0-1
3 3 Tempting Getaway 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Seperate Em Fast 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Flare Ups Farm Boss 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Mighty Fancy Tonya 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Accentonafarmbabe Aw 10.00 6 11-1
9 9 Perlita 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Serious Eagle Rising 5.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Jenny B 12.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Electrik 12.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Alcala Candy 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bye Corona 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Gt Is Earls Legacy 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Attitudes Runnaway 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Jessalilbit 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Open Your On Corona 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Mrs Kennedy Tlc 4.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Nitro Vision 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Wild Blue Candy 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ima Powerful Jammer 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fast Bar B 8.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Sheza Bye Bye 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Sara Bellum 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Pilotos Quick 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Shezdonegonegrand Aw 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Rf Debsblueyedgirl 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Jasmines Jellybean 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Moonlight Special 5.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 One Fast Denali 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.