Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rrregulator 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Diamonds Fire 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Jess Tiz an Ocean 8.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Above the Fire 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Jj Coronas Forever 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 One Eye Corona 15.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Ttt 123 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Shakin Piloto 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Bc Mary Jeaux Jet 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Nexgen 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kb Sweet Jesse 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Tinys First Runaway 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Tf Im That Secret 20.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Ttt Ivana Royality 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Just Plain Deadly 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Jj Carter 15.00 7 13-1
5 5 Jess Paint Me Fast 6.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Rose Pool 12.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Fk Hoka Hey 12.00 9.8 19-1
6 6 Chihuahua 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dr Louisiana Cash 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 The Almighty Cartel 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Mill Creek Angel 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 La Panther Blue 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 I Gotta Have It 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Ice Cole Jordan 6.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Sea Train B 4.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Comma Ta Da Top 20.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Scoop of Power 8.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Blues Pride 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Yacht Sea B Train 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 A Toast to Genee 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Polita Chick 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Dress Me in Blue 3.50 4.2 8-1
10 10 Bjs Toast to Cartel 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Cos Ima Champion 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Tdz Heza Got Game 10.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Jess Open It 4.50 7.8 15-1
1 1 Dlj Pilotos Girl 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 Jess Tempting Reb 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Turn the Eagle Lose 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Rf Fearless Jet 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Nota Ordinary Bear 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Louie Blues 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Fastdash Pilot 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Big Jack Perry 15.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Vg Imtheboss 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Julies Lil Rogue 6.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Sizzlin Grace 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Apollitical Blues 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Super Gremlin 20.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Tf Jess a Eagle 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Tf One Dashin Clown 4.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Tlc Snowman 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Sir Beckham Duke 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Kp Take Flight 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Zoomin Blue Star 8.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Tdz One Sweet Royal 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Big Daddys Cartel 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mollys Leaving You 15.00 1 2-1
10 10 Ekg One Sweet Wagon 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Glamour Dynasty 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Jj Heza Fast Dash Jr 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Gt N Boos Runaway 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Cos Mamma Said 15.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 One Fast Perry 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Emorylee 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Tastreakoffire 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Strut for Petes Sake 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Derby) – Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pappacito 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 This Train Flies 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Lil Freighttrain 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Pk Pure Rogue 4.00 5 9-1
10 10 Moon Diamond 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 A Secret to Catch 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Im First in Firstout 6.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Jj Freight Star 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Feature Five Bar 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Freighttrainacumin 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tm La Patriot Lady 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Geaux Party Geaux 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Dashin Nova 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Romeo Rogue 5.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Baby Blue Corona 2.50 6.3 12-1
10 10 Wagon Kisses 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Ttt M Twenty Three 8.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Jjj Jessies Girl 20.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Mae Power 15.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Yall Talkin On Me 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.