Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ransom Style 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Reaching Stride 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Love Unlimited 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Kit Can Run 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Antrim 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 I Love Ireland 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Caravana 5.00 5 9-1
9 9 Witching Hour 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Heart of the Beast 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Glacie Inheritance 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jive 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Dontbesoogrouchy 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Echo Lane 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Paisan 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Jigsaw 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Z Races 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Saint No More 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Elusive Empire 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Max Swagger 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Lights of Broadway 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Gentleman Gerry 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Huasteco 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Red’s Revenge 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Captain Anthony 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ghostly Night 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mabee Luckynwild 4.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Capridrey 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Divine Exchange 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Takestwotowiggle 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Domineering 4.00 5 9-1
5 5 Hardly Social 6.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Sheza Happy Girl 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cupid’s Dude 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 No Man Left Behind 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Glorious Tribute 1.80 1.3 3-1
2 2 T Ville 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Power (BRZ) 30.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Forty Flash 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Dunnigan 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Classic Film 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Old Town Road 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Commanding General 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Pure Speight 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Pound Green 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Earth 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Lee Ann’s Warrior 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Allegedly Perfect 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Small Reason 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Khozeiress 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Pouncival 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Practiko 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Diamond Cool 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 This Run’s for You 4.00 4 8-1
7 7 Super Unison 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Free Soul 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mystic Lancelot 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Minella 20.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Worlds On High 3.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 I Am the Game 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Stormy Victory 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Third Moon 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Tapit Brio 3.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 Black Seal 15.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Camp Daddy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 French Kissing 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Miss Domina 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Fawning 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 David’s Rose 5.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Chloe’s Toy 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Toquether (IRE) 15.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Oh Darlin 6.00 4 7-1
4 4 Puppymonkeybaby 8.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Gunesh 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Faith Over Fear 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.