Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Four Aces High 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Galvaston 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Light the Lamp 1.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Exceed 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Souper River 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Native Prince 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Unilateral 6.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Coleyville 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Blondeonamission 3.00 4 7-1
3 3 Duke of Miami 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Blockbuster 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Papa’s Place 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Panic Switch 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Some Like It Hot 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Smart Irene 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 She’s So Cold 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Manitoulin Island 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Don’t Move 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Favorite Channel 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Midnight Meadow 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Miss Brentwood 1.60 2.6 5-1
7 7 No Whammie 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Khozzy Valintine 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Bodacious Miss 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Tickle Her Toe 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Call Me Brooke 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pleasure’s Gold 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Swirling Dancer 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Spanish Beauty 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Perfect Provision 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Winyah Bay 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Nadiabizniz 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Calabrian Queen 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Time for an Angel 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Gamble’s Orb 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Proud Speaker 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Six Sense 3.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Sign of Beauty 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Admissible 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Where’s Samnbailey 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Holiday With Amy 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Alcom’soutinthwash 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Machina 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Blueberry Doll 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Sarah’s Dancer 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Miss Bikini 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Take Chances 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Sixtofive 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.