Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Reunion Tour 0 0-1
3 3 Bad Water 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Dads Good Runner 2.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Moving Pictures 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Star Attitude 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Larz 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Reunion Tour 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Raw Courage 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Paradise Creek S.) – Paradise Creek S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Charging 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Joey Freshwater 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Eye Witness 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Vacation Dance 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Inflation Nation (IRE) 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Devils Only Friend 12.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Hey Eugene 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Son of a Birch 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Golden Nugget 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Healing 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Goldini 15.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Landbiscuit 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Chowda 30.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 High Tide 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Front Man 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Lastchanceatglory 1.20 SCRATCH
10 10 My Friends Beer 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Original 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Eyes On Target 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Be Here 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Datesfreedom 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Curlins Choir 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Vax 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Belmar Summer 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Luna Loca 3.00 5 9-1
4 4 Amanda’s Folly 4.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Harlan’s Bond 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Sicilian Grandma 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Little Demon 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Winter Pool 1.80 1.4 3-1
7 7 Silipo 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sailor Speed 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Cool Quartet 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Jumpster 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Grumps Little Tots 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 10 Ben’s Sunny Island 4.00 1 2-1
7 6 Quick Power Nap 3.00 3 6-1
3 2 Devilly 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Free Shot 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Blame It On Paris 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Mostly Harmless 10.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 I’m Nervous Now 3.50 6.3 12-1
4 3 Ever Graceful 12.00 7 13-1
12 12 Predetermined 50.00 11 21-1
8 7 Proper Grammar 30.00 SCRATCH
13 14 Handle the Truth 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Candy Monet 12.00 SCRATCH
1A 13 Mispelled Mooon 4.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Attached 15.00 SCRATCH
14 15 Aeron Warrior 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Freudmein 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Refuah 3.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Nobilis 4.50 3 6-1
8 8 Union Trail 4.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 What a Mesa 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Seize the City 5.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Kern River 8.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Always Positive 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Amaretti 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Beguine 1.40 1.9 4-1
3 3 Royal Poppy 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Chasing Cara 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Awillaway 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Grannys Connection 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 La Aguililla 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Icy Reply 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bustin Lulu 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Carbon 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 True Empress 10.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Meraviglioso 1.80 4.7 9-1
3 3 Dolce Sera 12.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 My Sweet Summer 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 14 Saint Selby 8.00 1 2-1
8 9 King Angelo 6.00 5.1 10-1
15 16 Scocciatore 5.00 6 11-1
12 13 Secret Rules 2.50 6.3 12-1
11 12 H P Moon 6.00 7.2 14-1
7 8 Lobsta 20.00 8 15-1
3 2 Royal Tryst 20.00 12.7 24-1
1 4 Runningwscissors 2.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Pine Knoll 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Momos 12.00 SCRATCH
4 3 After Five 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 5 Back Ring Luck 2.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Comedy Town 5.00 SCRATCH
5 6 Into the Sunrise 6.00 SCRATCH
14 15 Black Belt 12.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Alogon 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ride Up 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Exude 10.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Majestic Michael 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Mistical Curlin 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Ocasek 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 First Money 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Global Stage 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Vespucci 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Moore’s Law 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.