Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Heart Boy 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Grand Gizmo 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Beyond Talented 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Manetka 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Doc Fishman 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Street Max 8.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Rare Discovery 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Dyna’s Bourbon 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Ransom 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Wickedblackbullet 4.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Yorkville 2.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Arnie P 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Walter Me Lad 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Passionplate 10.00 7 13-1
6 6 Preetzah’s Star 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Secret Storm 8.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Seattle Down Under 15.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Defogger 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Uncle Joe 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Keep Grinding 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Cruden Bay 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 One Bay Hemingway 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Sooner Lunar 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Guns n’ Rojas 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Point to the Stars 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kiddie Holiday 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 C C’s Kingdom 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Solar 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Shangassah 20.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Chairman Bob 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Bet 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Prideofdistinction 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Stop the Humbug 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pennick 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Dancing Duchess 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Calle Reina 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Dynamic Strike 15.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Miramichi 20.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Goingtoaruba 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Party 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Boston Mabel 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Under Budget 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Taproom 10.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Sugar Drop 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bolt Enoree 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kaukokaipuu 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sammy Stone 3.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Tiburon 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Musical Stride 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Magic Tomahawk 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Amazon Forester 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 C R Hot Shot 20.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Midnight Moonshine 4.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Natural Energy 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Ruling Angel S. Presented By Ketel One) – Ruling Angel S. Presented By Ketel One

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Collecting Flatter 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bulsara 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Ryder Ryder Ryder 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Last Call 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Renegade Rebel 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Attabe 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Ticker Tape Home 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dolce Sopresa 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hey Cue 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Coherence 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Proud Ronin 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Moon Over Egbert 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Mr. Rudy 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Miah Said 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Direct Drive 3.50 6.4 12-1
3 3 Ernie’s Martini 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lady Brew 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Curlin Candy 10.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 A Game 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Kitten’s Romance 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Trading Bay 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Diamond Crush 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Spider Belle 6.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Luz de La Luna 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Blue Max 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Chelsea Dagger 3.50 1.5 3-1
11 11 Big Executive 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Kid Forester 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Awesomecrest 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Highland Society 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Call My Banker 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Thelonious 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Supremeaction 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Canyouhearmenow 10.00 8.2 16-1
4 4 Racing in the Rain 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.