Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mighty Sea 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Collaborative 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Guard of Honour 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Moonquest 2.00 4 7-1
2 2 Zakhari 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Glenholme 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Candy Wine 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr Narcissistic 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Heat Merchant 2.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Benlion 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Posturing 10.00 5 9-1
9 9 Sensing Holiday 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Hullabaloo 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Souped Up 5.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Forester Humor 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Under Surveillance 8.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Northern Passage 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 O Wow 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Society’s Kat 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Helluva Holiday 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Foolish Games 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Speedy River 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Flowers ‘n Berries 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Weehawken 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Moral Turpitude 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Zoning Order 10.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Jokes Up 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Bijou Baby 4.00 8 15-1
2 2 Tapping a Rhythm 10.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Liam’s Awesome 15.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Flysofreeashleeb 8.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 Beyond Reason 20.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Julie’s Mist 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Moddassah 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 My Boy Prince 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Bolt Enoree 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Tunechi 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Night Striker 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Southern Style 10.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Pontiac 8.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Sugar Drop 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Computer Hacker 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Great Oz 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Lenny K 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Lapochka 3.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Citrus Boy 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Perfect Crime 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Finalist 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Step Forward 3.50 6.9 13-1
1 1 Jack the Cat 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (King Corrie S.) – King Corrie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wico (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Velocitor 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Stayhonor Goodside 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Keen Flatter 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Twin City 4.00 5 9-1
2 2 Classic Dancer 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 One for Chap 15.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Dream Jereem 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Priceless Will 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Cadamosto (IRE) 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Hunt Master 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Sir Seamus 2.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Particular 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Hilarious Affair 3.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Salvator Mundi 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Embrace My Uncle 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Patches O’Houlihan 0 0-1
3 3 Patches O’Houlihan 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Forest Buzz 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Jamiesta 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Boss Holiday 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Highland Life 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Half to Reload 15.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Kinetic Stone 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Give Me My Money 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Crimson Comet 4.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Puddingontheritz 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.