Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heavy Timber | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Normandy | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harp’s Hot Corner | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yo Yo Candy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bali Amour | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Lives | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rapture Bay | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seamialaugh | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Leviosa | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reiterate | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth as Glass | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Penance | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Call the Po Po | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Crews | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Uptown Shoes | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Finally Captured | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Upfor Parole | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Moly Moses | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liberty for All | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carrickmacross | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Therisastormbrewin | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Macho Eddie | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Somebody | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What’s to Blame | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jump for Alex | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runningforhome | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | White Lilacs | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iyiyi | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Distorted View | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | I Love Magel | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Masterpiece | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cash On First | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Alex | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Neblina | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Misquillo | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Has Six Aces | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Titanic Rose | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shutup and Hang On | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carmelina | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Divine Magic | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Creation | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kiss for Luck | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Betsy Is the Gal | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mii Amo | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Eyed Jackie | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mazal Eighteen | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purrfect Mistress | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Without a View | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tonala | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Wind | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Lilly Factum | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Tell Frankie | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shirley Greene | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lean On E | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blunt Force | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Cousin | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Assume Control | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Intentions | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond a Million | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summary Judgment | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Valerie First | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brody Slam | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Iconic Legacy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Return | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wizky’s On the Bay | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midlaner | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palm Island | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Commissioner G | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buffalo Shuffle | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Up | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sovereign Change | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strawberry Cone | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Mark Steven | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Esor | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brindisi | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Panadero | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mischievous Juan | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gambling Tzar | 4.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | More Than a Dance | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Recall | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Auchincruive | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Alonzo Mosely | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Jaa Mode | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Storied Fella | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Don’t Blame Freddy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.