Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Guana Cay | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Music Amore | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shezz Koldazice | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kimberley Dream | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hashtag Winner | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waters of Merom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Good Penny | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bali Dreamin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ball Gown | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Social Mandate | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ship It | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Puglia | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magna Massa | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monocacy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coexist | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Anoria | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Message | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Lesson | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wreck It Ruby | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luxuriate | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noshugforpop | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Mitole | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Red | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lou Anna | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bear Oak | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Call Ray | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On a Spree | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Forget | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tapage | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Happy Soul | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love and Money | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bout Time | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quaria Comet | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nota Bene | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Munnings | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Get the Candy | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Hero | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lisette | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jump Into the Fire | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Take Charge | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Music Street | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jungle Juice (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mambo Kitten | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Academic Honor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forever After All | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Samaritan | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Corsini | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toffee | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Insensitive | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Her Ladyship | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Ana | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Domina | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Technique | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Kupuna | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Santos Dumont | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Technique | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Fed | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Britain’s Kitten | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Flight | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Native Thunder | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alva Starr | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charriere | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jersey Pearl | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fogo Island | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tammy Tap Tap Tap | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ervadean | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bobbie Sox | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zapple | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Margoinabubblebath | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Keertana S.) – Keertana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Yearwood | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sparkle Blue | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Viburnum | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Star | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exit Soul | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Under One Sky | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Princess | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Talbeyah (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m So Sorry | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sinfiltre | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Arsinoe | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Implosion | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mullikin | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pilote Comete | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Space | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | De la Calles | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Testimony Time | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paddington | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cusp | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mafia | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Spirit | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vigano | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | First Player | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.