Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Just Johnny | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prairie Wolf | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Chief | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lurch | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Milton Street | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catale | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Calle de Boyd | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skyline | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Billy Yank | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brilliant Colors | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Dynasty | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Signofthecross | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paralissfrmanalyss | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fake Solution | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A. K. Safari | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Catomine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Savage | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marquee Thunder | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Design | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ask for Bode | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eskenforit | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drink | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Code One | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Contrabandista | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hallow Point | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Cindy | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Asset Basis | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pizza Charlie | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Codetowin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caseys Memory | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drill’s Li’l Man | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Pete | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cost Basis | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Dog | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Molly Bye O | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Streakin’ Easy | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Can’t Make Me | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Addababy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Firebaugh | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Stroll | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Firing Line | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Farrah Fowler | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.