Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cavalry Command | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Urban Bandit | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trophy Room | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rascally Rebel | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cypres Station | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Smoak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ricochet | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bob Marco | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Two Kid | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two by Two | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Aristocat | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Samui Sunset | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mint Game | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fermat | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brilliant Chase | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Never Change | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Krug | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | How Sweet She Is | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goldrush Hottie | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | P J’s Rider | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ginger Girl | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doris’ Slaying It | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Traviesa | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neatnik | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Queen Tapiture | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ballyhooly | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Eulee | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Serenity | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Palmer | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Write This Down | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Americas Woman | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Lady’s Aunt Ma | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shake It Girl | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Gypsy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lilly Simone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Beauty | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Irish Lace | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lil Spinner | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ocean Gateway | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Seaport | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Tracked | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Houlihan | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Auntie Rona | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donna’s Courage | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chromeplated Heart | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Skylar’s Sister | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Afandi | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flirtatious Lass | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winked | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Island Philo | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bosserati | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Evangeline Allons | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Valentine | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tam Char | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Paper Mansion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lady Mosler | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Vinegar Veggies | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Response Time | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moody Woman | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prodigy Doll | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Effect | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deco Strong | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Odds | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bar Down Express | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | North Highland | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inspired Irish | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | We Got Lucky | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Upsidedown Man | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Money Room | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.