Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yolanda Who | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Margoinabubblebath | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Caramel | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cami Cat | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shell Shock | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Megan’s Clara | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Je Suis Rapide | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Girl Afraid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | What’s to Do | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Palace | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Graceful Union | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Analyzed | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Words | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exclusive Joni | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stage Bell | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She’s Magic | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angora Deb | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Skratch Kat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Braganza | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Napa Candy | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joke Sisi (CHI) | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Batucada | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chiquita Mosca | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zawish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Heroic Move | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Itzos | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seeking Unity | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cagliostro | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loyal Company | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Abeliefinthislivin | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tejas | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gilcrease | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Bash | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scotland | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Regret S.) – Regret S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Papilio (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Girl Named Charlie | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mission of Joy | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sabalenka | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Astor | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Riddler | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Aristides S.) – Aristides S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gunite | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sibelius | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tejano Twist | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bango | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strava | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Audubon S.) – Audubon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mendelssohns March | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desert Duke | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Webslinger | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scoobie Quando | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharar | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lazarus | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J. P. Race | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Shawnee S.) – Shawnee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Idiomatic | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hidden Connection | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Travel Column | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sixtythreecaliber | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Swag | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frost Point | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul of an Angel | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pauline’s Pearl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Arlington S.) – Arlington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Set Piece (GB) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Causeway | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Get Smokin | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Ghost | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harlan Estate | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Patronage (FR) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiberius Mercurius | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Blame S.) – Blame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Santin | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Fast | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pioneer of Medina | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rattle N Roll | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Masqueparade | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cooke Creek | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy American | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barber Road | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | American Retro | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Prankster | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Guilt | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vostra | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snow Princess | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mirus | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Methodology | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Commencement | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Driana | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Zeitlos | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.