Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | West Saratoga | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dunphy | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Parfait | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unified Point | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Admiral | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Yaqui Valley | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shotgun Pro | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Astronomico | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz My Hero | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Potential Spam | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coin Miner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Badgeball | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emperador | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swimmingwithsharks | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tropic Storm | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Socks | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Got the Bob | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | All Eyes West | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boise | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crime Spree | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | My Man Flintstone | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muni Muni Slew | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Populist | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gormleys Got Game | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Firery Tale | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crosstown Shootout | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cove Blue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hemp Heaven | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tut’s Revenge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Good Governance (GB) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starting Over | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kittansett | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dominican Pioneer | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Milliken | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Centurian | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Eastside Cool | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Centurian | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greener Pastures | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Background | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Digital | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Keeper | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outlier | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pipes and Drums | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kansas Comet | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Plenty of Time | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Son of Thunder | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Merlotti | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patrolman | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | What’s Up Doc | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Magic City | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Twenty Twenty | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dreamwithinadream | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gunner Bay | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Winger | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sippican Shop | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mo Strike | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Eagles River | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lugan Knight | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top Recruit | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Damon’s Mound | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Determinedly | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tumbarumba | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Echo Again | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mailman Money | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Ottoman | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready to Pounce | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tartufo | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greys the Boy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Midnight | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior Johny | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghostlore | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Old Forester Mint Julep S.) – Old Forester Mint Julep S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Dani Girl | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | White Frost | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kate’s Kingdom | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Henrietta Topham | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Hideaway | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gam’s Mission | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | California Angel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | New Year’s Eve | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chiron | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Invader | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Billy Jack | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Cool | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Citizen | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Macho Villa | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Concerted | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oscar Eclipse | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zaphod | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Category Ten | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.