Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lansdowne (GB) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anmer Hall | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New York Dreams (GB) | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Really Big News | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Franklin One Star | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Who’s Candy | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bravestone | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Boginskaya | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twin Soul | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mango Moon | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Icy Breeze | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dorine’s Wild Cat | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shambala Girl | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Update | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Taming the Tigress | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss My Kat | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Much Heaven | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ready Jet Go | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Over Attracted | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Enclosure | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Halosnheaven | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colette’s Joy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royale Delta | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minedandrefined | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storming Gray | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duchessofbayridge | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ashleys Sandcastle | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Had That One Too | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior Lady | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cherry Chaos | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Annie’s Hope | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Betsy Is the Code | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chevy Girl | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yvett’s Surprise | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Giver Not a Taker | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tahoe Sunrise | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moose Mitchell | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kingdom Heart | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Departure | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speight and Malice | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Darnquick | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cash Equity (FR) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twist (FR) | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crosby Beach | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McLaren Vale | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tidal Forces | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Samburu (GB) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fayathaan (IRE) | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taishan | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Respect the Code | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Affirmed S.) – Affirmed S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Geaux Rocket Ride | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Del Mar Jerry | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Fisk | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard to Figure | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ze’bul | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skinner | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Habeas | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Russells Hustle | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Upright | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rippin’ Ruis (AUS) | 20.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kawazaki (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Livin | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cryptoholic | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Key Is Unity | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giovinazzo | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Circle the Moon | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kreacher | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.