Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prideofdixiecreed | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star of Mine | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s All About Joe | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Rules | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colorful Native | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dot Com Dreamin | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Undecoded | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hoping for a Ring | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Fire and Ice | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simona’s Choice | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Kat Taps | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hightail Cowboy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charming Charlie | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Optimistic Valor | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Chad | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Xcaret | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grazen in the Park | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ziggy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aprettylulaby | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unglued | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Firebaugh | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Stroll | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Song of Praise | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Time Girl | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stay Fabulous | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Delta Moon | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marshside Mama | 1.60 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Free Will | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Czechitout | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Bileve | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tin Badge | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toska’s Ruler | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cowboy Casanova | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Choos Ur Adventure | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Years Fly By | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Snap’n Tap | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Higgam | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Espe’s Guy | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Babys Time to Sing | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sarah’s Boy Blue | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Temple City Run | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | County Jail | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mach Swede | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Last Chant | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glome | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.