Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Sea | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guard of Honour | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jim’s Hope | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twixter | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Trouble | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Serenade | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Renegade Serenade | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trigger’s Bay | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Boy | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Give Me My Money | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Morstachy’s | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lobby Bar | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Passage | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dissectologist | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reload’s Rebel | 2.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Ransom | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie’s Flatter | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Conversation | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tory’s Holiday | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One More Brew | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wont Forget You | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Sunshine | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Managed Forest | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Repeat the Heat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gendragon | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souped Up | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Three Sonny Sideup | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cruden Bay | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forester Humor | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mehlek | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | October Frost | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Start Me Up | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Four Strong Winds | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Boy Prince | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bedard | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valley Victory | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Ghosts | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wagner | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dynamic Strike | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Babbo | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Victoria’s Chief | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Thunderer | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giovannino | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Junipero Serra | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fanore (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Charlie | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bill Needle | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hank Ollie | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spiritwood | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Silent Fortune | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call Curt | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Full Extreme | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tecumseh’s War | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stanley House | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Crowley | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Embrace My Uncle | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Reward Night | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Cohiba | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Bet | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lac Macaza | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Sahib | 4.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sand Dancer | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Miracle | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Canadian Pharoah | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Speighty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Seamus | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elusive Knight | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breaking Alone | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ready for the Lady | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Like the King | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | English Conqueror | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Palazzi | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Enchant Me | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Thread of Blue | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seventyseven Stone | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Day Tripper | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancin in Da’nile | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Money Printer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frosted Over | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haddassah | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dun Drum | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Mambo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luckman | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pidin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chicago Freddy | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Echo With Laughter | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Vista | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Preetzah’s Star | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonquest | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Quiet Speed | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Infinitely Katz | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Video Vida | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | This Cat Is by Jax | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harper City | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.