Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vanishing Interest | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gustavor | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Changeordersonny | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arak | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ensign Skip | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mufrih | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Memory | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kingy | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | We Got This | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Z Races | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gentle Breeze | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tisha | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Problem Joe | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Ruiz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tapple Cider | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Domineering | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Colors | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ala Turka | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Exchange | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hardly Social | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Grace | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disco Queen | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reyna de Verano | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Actress | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Katiesdreamgirl | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Provocativa | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mudshaft | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bernardo’s Legacy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Chaos | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love Spell | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Be Broken | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adios Your Honor | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Down Dennis | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luscious Dancer | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justice Time | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Frosted Armour | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’ll Figure It Out | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Old Town Road | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sovereign of Speed | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sarawat | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Kitten | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valid Exchange | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cape Trafalgar | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sedona Red | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Fury | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alexander Helios | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strapped | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Acquisitive | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Riverboat Richie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Qualy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Millie (CHI) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One of One | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamster | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Simplify (ARG) | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joya Del Sur | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adios Baby | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Towser | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roman Flame | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jan’s Girl | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | On Alert | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Damaso | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Principia | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sensitivity | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.