Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Be Water | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Incomparable | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Howmuchareyouworth | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La La Lucy | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Emma Jo | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sirenetta | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Legacy | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Valerie First | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elusive Ryder | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marianna Queen | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Stay Home | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Streak | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always a Queen | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abhaile | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jovial | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Porsupuesto | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky as a Seven | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gimmebackmybullets | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister J T | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dadashev | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | He’s Incredible | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bailey | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Substantial | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Roundtree | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kingsville | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jump Shot | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Last Dream | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Norlander | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Squad | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Titanium Reckage | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sharp Sensation | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Merging Traffic | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Junglherly Love | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jsk Pharaoh’sreign | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Spartan Boy | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frugal Jude | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Capt Complicated | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Peja Du | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Huntington | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Befriendtheenemy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Smilin Jack | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Roadtriptonowhere | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Predominate | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Chrome | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suigu Star | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eye of Gunfighter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Semper Fidelis | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jump for Alex | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Screen Saver | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amount | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grit’n’grind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Call Fitzroy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kith | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mississippi | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Causalistic | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | U U Star | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Genghis | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strike Me Down | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Osprey | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hide the Ransom | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big City Bob | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Puttheglassdown | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Creed | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Chaser | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girlfromouterspace | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior’s Ransom | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carlotuk | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Neon City | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Emerald | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | A Case of You | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Determined Lilly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Can’t Complain | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Neecie Marie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tribord | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | R Tenderoni | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Sharpie | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dia de Sol | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unadulterated | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Loyalty | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wonder City | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Miss Chamita | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.