Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bux for Diamonds 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bossy Bux 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Jjj Valentino 4.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Djr Fast Jet 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Five Bar Creek 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Bjs the Toughest Guy 5.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Jrs Majestic Baby 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Cartel Shakalaka 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jet Black Game 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Jrs Coronas Queen 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Senor Tacubaya 2.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Tf One Special Jess 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 One Dashing Perry 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Eyesa Blue Boy 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Jessuwaitnc 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Blue Louisina Fire 12.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Tm Coal Train 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tf That Girls Game 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Coronas Sunrise 6.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Jj Jess Goes By 5.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Tf Jess Poisonous 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Cajun Train 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Eddies Money Train 4.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 The Fiscal Flyer 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kk Speed Piloto 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tdz Youdrive Imroyal 6.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Rh Valentina Flash 20.00 2 4-1
10 10 Msm Party With Moe 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Jj Corona Jess 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Im for Myles 5.00 6 11-1
5 5 Diamond Colors 2.50 6.2 12-1
6 6 Jrs Lucky Majestic 12.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Shez Leavin Magic 4.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Cartel So Fast 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Buffon Tlc 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Ttt Ivana Royality 15.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Jessie Corona 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Rh Sweet Bikini 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Roaming Eyes 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Jess Paint Me Fast 4.50 6.7 13-1
5 5 Djr Chan Man 2.50 6.7 13-1
3 3 Kb Sweet Jesse 8.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Flame of the Yukon 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tf Mr Painted Perry 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Cashin in Together 15.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Flaming Eagle 5.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Honour Thru Diamond 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Jj Sir Runaway 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Louisiana Fugitive 6.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Significant Prize 12.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Tg Mount Coup 8.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Choochu 3.50 9.1 17-1
5 5 Missy Mtz Piloto 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Amateur Night 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mason Hung the Moon 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Spicey One 10.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Guccia Fast Tee 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Fire Sunset 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Five Bar Presence 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Fast Dash Fortune 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 The Golden Chick 5.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Five Bar Joy 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jes Leaving the Bar 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rdd Shot Gun Rider 12.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Jet Kisses 20.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Polita Chick 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Jt One Sweet Shakeem 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 South Tallahassee 6.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Sqeeze the Lime 3.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Ajs Maxin Out 8.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Apollitical Frosty 20.00 10 19-1
2 2 San Lorenzo Pegasus 8.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.