Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zimba Warrior 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Sittin On Go 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Granada Flavor 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Next Revolt 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Deep River 4.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fast Per Se 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Catbernay 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 City of Champions 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Paul Vincents Poem 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Gator Shining 2.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tiff With Jimmy 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Con Seal and Kerry 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Minedandrefined 1.20 3.1 6-1
1 1 Mahina 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Kimberly’s Devil 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Donttestyourluck 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 O’Banion (IRE) 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Stafford to Kupp 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Eagles Landing 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Mt. Zeror 3.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Laura’s Kidough 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Danz Till Ten 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Carpe Bellum 1.60 1.4 3-1
1 1 Bluegrass Ryder 2.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Sippin Whiskey 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Whiskey Vision 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Wiley’s Wonder 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Coalinga Hills 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ana Lisa 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Tropicana Girl 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Bengal Tiger 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Night Party 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Blossoming 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tom Horn 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dark Marcus 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Right Turn 10.00 3 6-1
4 4 Barbacoa 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Missing Them 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Logon to Win 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Sanger 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Aviator Nation 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fiamina 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Conquest Celsius 5.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Thirsty for Love 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Lighting and Reign 3.50 6 11-1
5 5 It’s Saul Good 1.60 6.9 13-1
2 2 The Fence 12.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Fifty Stars 30.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Unified A. P. 15.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Smoove Over 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Big Clare 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 She’s a Bit Sassy 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Race Judicata 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Ultimate Hy 2.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Rosie Forecast 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Madiha 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Tizzy Twister 3.50 7.1 13-1
6 6 I Had That One Too 6.00 8 15-1
7 7 Emerald Lake 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.