Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Paid in Gold 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ava’s Storm 1.60 1.2 2-1
2 2 Accelerina 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 House of Magic 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Merrily Rush 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kant Beat the Rock 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Big Swede 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Established 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Sunrise Journey 1.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Majestic Wind 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Isabel Ludlow 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Flymetothemoonbaby 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 The Music We Make 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Stan’s Starlet 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sing a Happy Song 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Drizella 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Flat Out Joy 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Rain Diva 1.80 3.4 6-1
2 2 A New Peace 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Chollima 4.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Molto Vivace 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sigur Ros 8.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Mister Bold 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 My Summer Dream 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 See Through It 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Perfect D 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Wegonahavagoodtime 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 McWherter 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Whisky My God (ARG) 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Run Snappy 4.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Edinburgh Express 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Equipo A 1.40 1 2-1
6 4 Pollo d’Oro 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Quick Intro 1.60 1.6 3-1
3 2 Perfecto Amor 6.00 2.4 4-1
5 98 Mindshare 0.00 SCRATCH
2 98 Time Is Gone 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Indy’s Star 3.00 1 2-1
5 4 My Destiny 1.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Classymademoiselle 8.00 2 4-1
4 3 Sweet Heidelberg 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Apart of My Charm 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 The Reign Song 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 98 Unwritten Code 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Great Lady M S.) – Great Lady M S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Eda 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Chismosa 20.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Vegas Magic 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Rose Maddox 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Elm Drive 3.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Awake At Midnyte 3.00 7 13-1
4 4 Real Fire 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Pammy’s Ready 12.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Dance to the Music 6.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.