Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ouch Ouch Ouch 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Esor 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Catching Cupid 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 He’ssosubtle 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Commissioner Dave 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Southern Runner 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bet of the Century 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Peach Be With Q 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Hip Hop Hooray 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Lucky Breeze 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Divine Twist 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Queen Lucky 5.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Colette’s Spirit 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Boss Like Beth 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Anna Volante 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Xenatown 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Tudor Peak 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 So Swell 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 So Softly 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Speightster’s Gold 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 What a Beaut 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Iyiyi 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Bells On Her Toes 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Tonala 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Oui Madame 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Valuable Breigh 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Jsk Lucky’s Pushpa 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Magnolia Road 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Cape Neddick 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Destin for Drama 5.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 Overthebluesky 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Royal Party 6.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Scarlet’s Song 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 College Try 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Divine Promise 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Canny Land 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Thendara’s Lost 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 My Hunny Bunny 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Young Squire 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dixie’s Two Stents 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Classic Union 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Commingling 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 In Spades 4.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Pudge Boy Palace 2.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dangnabbit 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mr. Briggs 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Mischievous Juan 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Skillful 6.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Current Hope 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Saponara 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Splitzville 3.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 We Ready 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hurricane Highway 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Word On a Wing 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 City Rage 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Fast Bob 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Doctor Doom 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Girolamo’s Attack 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Thiscatcanjump 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Game Seven 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 McCrakens Ghost 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Finally Captured 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Praetorian Guard 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Capital Conquest 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Blue Royal 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Don’t Blame Freddy 8.00 1 2-1
12 12 King Swansboro 10.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Battle of Yorktown 8.00 3.6 7-1
14 14 Jest Above 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Stella’s Tour 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Catty’s Uncle 4.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Bobby’s Candy 5.00 5 9-1
9 9 Golden Wildcat 3.00 5.4 10-1
13 13 Still the One 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Spanish Czar 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Omerta Code 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tequila Jr 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 I Lucked Out 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Runnin Joke 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.