Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lady Eyem Deluxe 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Leavin Louisiana 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Storms Vision 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Air Cav Piloto 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Separest Pretty Rose 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Ripnroller 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Ls Famous Dancer 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fast Gypsy 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Afro Samurai 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Into the Grey 1.80 3.4 6-1
4 4 My Buddy Blue 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Dumb Country 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Oh Cosino Fast 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Freighttrain 1351 0 0-1
6 6 Freighttrain 1351 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Louisana Queen 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Ttt La Rolex 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Chictwopointo 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Brooklynns Runaway 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Jsm Fast Dash 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Moonin Cara 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Meagan All Over 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Wanted Cartel 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tf One Sweet Wokatee 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Best Magic Piloto 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Igotyourdashtocash 10.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Jj Kicjess Princess 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Shes a Fast Blue 20.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Ttt Mortanna 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Mp Fly High 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Dlj Jess Thrill Me 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Patty Wagon Train 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Mr One Sweet Song 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rio Rojo Negras 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Fiercely Faithful 10.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Jens First Patriot 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Cg Key to My Dreams 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Him Gone 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Blew Duck 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Piloto Warrior 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Jess a Wild Card 20.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Timely Bandit 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Cartels Smarty Pants 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tuff Guy 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mr Dohick 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 The Shining Cartel 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Apollitical Zoom 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Heza Fast Tac 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Ttt James Oreille 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Im the Bullet 4.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Rip R Down 6.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Ghetto Supastaar 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tucker Dynasty 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lilenginethatcould 10.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Political Train 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Secrets in the Snow 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Perrys Midnight Dash 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Prs Divas N Diamonds 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mr Commander 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Runningwiththewave 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Xdw Sheza Corona 4.50 7.3 14-1
9 9 Fancy One 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Will 3 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Im Fast N Famous 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Mp Prize Piloto 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 A Few Bux More 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Corona Power Jam 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 Mill Creek Angel 15.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Rough Majestic 8.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Iputdatonacrackadude 15.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Majestic Molly 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ms Deluxe 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.