Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Grab the Glory | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nicky Jolene | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Find Your Joy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Lonchura | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Miss Omaha | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wise Conversation | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Play Free Bird | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Astoria Park | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tough Love Torres | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Liberty Flame | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Luisa | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet as Sugar | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Nyquist | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simple Sugar | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luna Loca | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triple P | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 5 | She’s a Mia | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Chili Flag (FR) | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Idea Generation (IRE) | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Sweet Dutchess | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Triple P | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Bustin Bay | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 3 | Game Theory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | She Caught My Eye | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kasimba | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luna Warrior | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lawful | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Veselsky | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Baron | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thatsmyboxer | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bill of Rights | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Variable Cost (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Haul | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Falfurrias | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Trumpet | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Playground | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Charlie Tough | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Game Misconduct | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ridgewood Runner | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dangerous Driver | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Centz | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Saisir Le Jour | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rock Star Boy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Divine Empire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Fast Gordon | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paratus | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Most Wanted Man | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spettro | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Atlas | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | General’s Duty | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Regard | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostlyprince | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Light | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kingdom On Paws | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | You’re My Girl | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Stones | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tosconova Beauty | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Disruption | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’mhavingamoment | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Return | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fancy Feline | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Towering Gaze | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Athena Beach | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kannon Fire | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dontmesswithtess | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brisky Frolic | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Up Her Sleeve | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cumberland Falls | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Always Laughing | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Except Temptation | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stella Mars | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | More Mango | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Redzilla | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sa Foradada | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dolce Sera | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mursal | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bold Honor | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Road | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brass Monkey | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chess Spectacular | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Again | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One for My Brother | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Equalizer | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eridromos | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Somama Beach | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Bob | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.