Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Island d’Lite 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Superstitieux 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 On the Engine 2.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Sir Smoak 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Political Decision 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Little Bay 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Giantsbane 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Awesome Strike 3.00 1.1 2-1
11 11 Gettin’downonit 10.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 North Highland 8.00 2 4-1
8 8 Silk Prince 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Imagine It 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Stellar Lute 30.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Hay Chief 2.50 4.3 8-1
10 10 Elusive 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Longworth 8.00 5.7 11-1
14 14 Photo Copy 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Remastered 1.60 SCRATCH
13 13 Praline’s Cat 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Snip the Roses 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 B West 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sponsored 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Carbonite 1.80 1.7 3-1
7 7 Street Hustle 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Mungo Magic 30.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Phra Phrom 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Abuelo Paps 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Gunslinger (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
4 3 Papal Law 2.50 3 6-1
1 4 Two by Two 1.60 3.6 7-1
1A 10 Brilliant Chase 1.60 3.8 7-1
10 11 Dancing Til Dusk 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Super E 5.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Down Cold 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Transit 30.00 7.5 14-1
11 12 Clubman 1.60 SCRATCH
6 6 Dixie Drawl 4.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Walk Away Joe 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Maximum Impact 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lady Ensign 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Goldrush Hottie 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 How Sweet She Is 2.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Kentucky Reign 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Haint Blue 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Connie’s Dance 1.80 6.6 12-1
7 7 Italian War Cry 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Queen of the Dance 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Nuwanda 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Nami 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Carmel Sunrise 3.50 4.5 9-1
9 9 Forgotten Gift 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Krone 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Tanka Tough 8.00 5.4 10-1
13 13 Time Goes Fast 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Catch the Kitten 10.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Ginger Girl 15.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Smoke N Sin 50.00 10.1 19-1
10 10 Always Forward 50.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 Two Spot 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Intro 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Irish Zapper 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pit Stop Man 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Indian Lake 2.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Cynergy’s Star 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Steinbeck 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Whiskey and You 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Savoy 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Float On 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Valiant Vinny 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Spycraft 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Boss Is a Pal 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 By the Sey Shore 4.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 So Street 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Semper Fi 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Hunter Joe 5.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Youngest of Five 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Air Token 1.60 SCRATCH
8 8 Colbaloaf 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cryo 1.40 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.