Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dr. Troutman 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Papale 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Vicente’s Shadow 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Divine Feminine 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Krixus Flash 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Rip City 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Prince of Monaco 0 0-1
5 5 Prince of Monaco 0.60 1 2-1
2 2 Malibu Rain 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Masters Sunday 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Lord Bullingdon 15.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Without Borders 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jaycee 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cal 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Think of Anita 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Noisey Burglar 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Auntie Bev 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Friendly Shuffle 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sassy Tinkerbell 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Warren’s Show Bizz 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Midnight Susi 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Smokemonthecliff 3.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Round in Circles 10.00 3 6-1
4 4 Stella Starlight 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Project Leader 2.00 1 2-1
3 2 Paul Vincents Poem 3.50 1.2 2-1
4 3 J T’s Watch 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 5 Lucky Ryan Seven 8.00 2 4-1
2 1 Winding 2.50 2 4-1
7 6 Sharp Warning 15.00 3 6-1
1 98 Edinburgh Express 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Assuredly 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Amazing Flyer 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Heavenly Kisses 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Kimberly’s Devil 20.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Oak Creek Gal 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Sent by Angels 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Atomic Drop 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mastering 1.60 1.2 2-1
2 2 Handy Dandy 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Explain This Audit 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Subsidize 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Straighten Up 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Cowboy Charlie 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Devil Among Us 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 American Cat 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Scary Fast Smile 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Alpine Thunder 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Can’t Recall 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Black Magician 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 City of Champions 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Reign Over Me 2.50 6 11-1
6 6 Lampy 10.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Aberdeen’s Knight 3.50 8.3 16-1
9 9 Medina Man 8.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Boomer Justice 10.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Mongolian Master 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Forgiving Spirit 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Smuggler’s Run 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Golf Drama 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Creative Peak 3.50 5.6 11-1
3 3 Barely Funtional 4.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Sawasdee 2.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.