Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Western Trouble 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Marten River 15.00 2 4-1
4 4 Jibaro 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Ghoul (BRZ) 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Blue Max 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Striking Heir 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Combative 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Trebuchet 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Raging Bear 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Ignite the Storm 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Serenade At Sea 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Harper City 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Good Skip Indeed 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 It’s a Soupermoon 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 J M R Turek 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Text Me Up 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Trish the Dish 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Wicked Miah 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Little Fire 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Phil in Echo 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Ivy’s Star 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Its a Birdie 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bill Needle 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Aramos 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 High Treason 4.50 4.5 8-1
2 2 Blasito 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Glenholme 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Arnie P 10.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Blonde Dynamo 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Spirit Animal 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Hallie’s Hero 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Mad Dog N Joe 15.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Steak and Cheese 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Lapochka 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Malibu Uproar 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Anselmo 20.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Spider Belle 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Papa’s Place 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mambointheforest 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Blockbuster 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Twisted Path 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Taradar 20.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Kitten’s Boy 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Fifth Season 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mendeljohn (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Luv to Win 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Smart Coverage 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Boss Holiday 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Gungi 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Half to Reload 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Mia and Me 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Candy Street 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grand Gizmo 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Robitaille 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Silent Lucidity 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Social Justice 15.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Rockland Express 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Ethnic Soul 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Reins of Purple 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Lomaki Force 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Manitoulin Island 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.